Old CW chance and necessity did it/New CW gremlins did it

Evolution: The Fossils Speak, but Hardly with One Voice

Denyse O'Leary 

Editor's note: We are delighted to inaugurate a new series, "Talk to the Fossils," by our friend and colleague Denyse O'Leary. See here for her Introduction.

University of Chicago biochemist James Shapiro, not a design theorist,offers in one of his lectures four kinds of rapid, evolutionary change that Darwin "could not have imagined": horizontal DNA transfer, symbiogenesis, genome doubling, and built-in mechanisms of genome restructuring. His approach is in sharp contrast to the "defend Darwin" strategy usually championed in the academy. So it is no surprise that he is a controversial figure. But is he right in saying that many possible mechanisms of evolution owe little or nothing to Darwin's theory, the only concept of evolution most of us hear about?

It is reasonably estimated that there are 8.7 million species today (excluding bacteria), but that only about 14 percent have been identified -- and only 9 percent of ocean life forms. Our picture of Earth's life forms might change radically if we had more information about all the others. For example, an entire kingdom of life, the Archaea, was only identified in the 1970s.

How did all these life forms get to be where they are? As we examine some evidence-based mechanisms, we should keep in mind a critical question: How does a given mechanism fit our current picture of evolution? And how much change can it account for?

The welter of data coming back from paleontology, genome mapping, and other studies presents a challenging picture. With so much new information, the history of life begins increasingly to resemble the history of human civilizations. There is peril in that, principally to older ideas that depended on less information and more overarching theory.

Overarching theories often falter when evidence replaces speculation. Darwinian evolution is, despite legislative protection, certainly one of the victims. By contrast, discarded and ridiculed theories like Lamarck's (inheritance of characteristics acquired in life by the parents) may turn out to have some basis in epigenetics.

So, to start this series, instead of contemplating yet another picture derived from grand theories, let us assemble, under eight headings, some of what we have learned in past decades that we did not expect. That might help us evaluate theories, new and old.

1. First, how reliable is the fossil record? It's really a question of what we don't know that would make a difference. Some sense of the difficulty may be gleaned from a comment offered by University of Bristol's Michael Benton:

Paleontologists are right to be cautious about the quality of the fossil record, but perhaps some have been too cautious. The sequence of fossils in the rocks more or less tells us the story of the history of life, and we have sensible ways of dealing with uncertainty. Some recent work on "correcting" the fossil record by using formation counts may produce nonsense results.

But which results are nonsense? How will we know?

2. Are there patterns in evolution? Yes, probably, at least two: Larger size and growing complexity (partly a function of multicellular body plans). Over the last 542 million years, marine animals' mean size has increased by 150 times. As it happens, the largest animal that has ever lived, so far as we know, is today's blue whale.

That said, patterns we assume to exist may not hold up. A classic evolutionary doctrine, "Dollo's law," claims that traits once lost can never be regained. But bone worms, for one example, seem to break this law, in that the males are roughly the same size as the females, instead of being the usual thousands of times smaller for their type of worm. Frogs, snapdragons, and snakes, among other life forms, apparently also break the law with impunity. From The Smithsonian, we learn that evolution is indeed reversible:

Some mites have returned to their free-roaming ways after countless millennia living on animal hosts. And a tree frog from South America lost its lower teeth only to re-evolve them after 200 million years.

We don't actually know how rare reversal is. And we can't fill in large chunks of time with patterns when there are no verified patterns. Some say Dollo's law is due for retirement. But others aver, using computer models, that evolution is both irreversible and unpredictable. If evolution is indeed unpredictable, there is no pattern.

Some, like science writer Philip Ball, claim nonetheless that there is a "strange inevitability of evolution." At Nautilus, he reports:

"Darwin's theory surely is the most important intellectual achievement of his time, perhaps of all time," says evolutionary biologist Andreas Wagner of the University of Zurich. "But the biggest mystery about evolution eluded his theory. And he couldn't even get close to solving it.

But wait! If the biggest mystery in evolution eluded Darwin's theory, why his theory "the most important intellectual achievement of his time, perhaps of all time"? How are we supposed to get anywhere if we are expected to venerate such a non-explanatory grand theory?

In reality, patterns in life forms are often wrongly interpreted when Darwinism is used as a frame. For example, current evolutionary theory provides no clear basis for interpreting a relationship between longevity and fertility. Thus, some researchers claimed that women undergo menopause but chimpanzees do not, that "menopause is not a part of the life cycle of living apes but has been uniquely derived in the human lineage."

Darwinian explanations for that are, of course, on offer. For example, men triggered menopause (by preferring younger women). Or women's selfish genes cause them to forego future breeding in order to invest in the survival of their existing selfish genes (children), sometimes called the grandmother hypothesis. That thesis assumes, of course, that older women are an asset to a group. Sometimes they are, sometimes not.

Despite all such claims, chimpanzees do undergo menopause, as a carefully researched 2012 paper on captive chimpanzees notes. But she-chimps do not typically live long after menopause. A recent article in Naturesummarizes the fact that current evolution theory provides no basis for interpretation of the relationship between longevity and fertility in life forms.

3. Life forms sometimes survive in ways we did not imagine, let alone predict.Some bacteria eat electrons, demonstrating "the almost miraculous tenacity of life." If some life forms live on pure energy, one wonders, will we one day discover life forms that live on pure information? Don't count it out.

And some life forms defy classification: The ancient (chancelloriid) "balloon animal" from over 500 mya doesn't seem to fit in with anything living today. And in a Chinese fossil trove from 570 mya, it is hard to decide whether the fossils are animals or bacteria. To quote a researcher, "What isn't widely appreciated is that the Doushantuo rock formation contains billions of microfossils, many of which have no traits that are diagnostic of any living group and contain features that are not of biological origin."

Another mysterious giant fossil that "seems to defy all known groups of organisms" is 450 million years old. Similarly, a billion-year-old microorganism is not apparently a fungus, alga, parasite, plant, or animal, so classifiers just called it "protozoa" (first life). Not that we know it was the first life, as the name implies.

Even when life forms can be classified, they may still present conundrums rather than gaps filled. For example, when a 60-million-year-old shrew-like mammal fossil turned up, a researcher noted, "The new dryolestoid, Cronopio, is without a doubt one of the most unusual mammals that I have seen, extinct or living."

Might there be life forms out there that are permanently unclassifiable using our present system? Maybe using a genetic code we don't understand? FromMotherboard, we learn, "There's already some evidence that something weird and undiscovered exists out there. Highly novel (and large) viruses, with weird strings of DNA (for a virus) have been discovered that seem to have strings of DNA from seemingly archaeal and eukaryotic genomes." If we take the ID approach seriously -- that DNA is a language -- the DNA might use different elements to form the instructional words, as long as they are functional in a given context.

Even when we can classify life forms, we are always finding forms that don't fit. Consider a recently discovered vegetarian relative of T. rex, an "evolutionary muddle of a beast," the size of a small horse, whose numbers dominated Patagonia 145 million years ago." We are promised "plenty of headaches for paleontologists hoping to place the animal in the dinosaur family tree." Also dubbed the platypus dinosaur, it mainly demonstrates that evolution studies don't feature much predictive power.

One could say the same of a huge, recently discovered North American dinosaur that could terrorize early tyrannosaurs 100 mya. "Contemporary tyrannosaurs would have been no more than a nuisance to Siats, like jackals at a lion kill."

So a whole narrative of late Cretaceous ecology got started entirely in ignorance of this top predator? That is like trying to understand the northern wilderness without knowing about the existence of bears. Or wolf packs. Similarly, the DNA of some ocean bacteria crucial to ecosystem healthdefies explanation, and "contradicts nearly all accounts of free-living microbial genome architectures to date."

Even when life forms do fit our beliefs, they don't always do what we say they must: A theory of animal origin, that complex life evolved because atmospheric oxygen levels began to rise about 630-635 million years ago, was challenged recently by the discovery that some early animals, including common sea sponges, need almost no oxygen.

Other life forms do things we assumed they could not: A living wasp has an ovipositor partially metal-plated with zinc. Why? "It must be hard but flexible so that the female wasp can curve and bore it through the fig. And the wasp must be able to use it repeatedly and efficiently without it wearing down or fracturing."

4. Beyond this, we keep discovering new life forms that we did not expect or predict. A newly discovered Pacific Northwest spider, announced in 2012, represents a hitherto unknown family, according to conventional classification, not just a new genus or species. Recently discovered mushroom-shaped sea creatures turn out to be neither jellyfish nor comb jelly, and could be related to groups thought to be extinct for over half a billion years. Or possibly a newly discovered branch on the tree of life.

We also keep finding new life forms that change the picture. A mystery mammal's tracks, found alongside those of dinosaurs, belong to a raccoon-size animal at a time (118 mya) when most mammals are thought to have been no bigger than a rat. Similarly, a new fossil find from 130 mya in Chinafeatures "not a parade of galumphing giants, but an assemblage of quirky little creatures like feathered dinosaurs, pterosaurs with advanced heads on primitive bodies, and the Mesozoic equivalent of a flying squirrel."

Yet despite all this, so far as our research can tell, non-life never exploits any strategy to become life. So one thing is still true: Pasteur's dictum, "Omne vivum ex vivo" ("All life comes [only] from life").

5. Far too much attention may be given to genes and DNA. So much current evolution thinking, including questionable fields like evolutionary psychology, depends on the alleged power of the gene. Does anyone remember that fellow who said in the early 90s that a CD of your genome is "you"?

Not even close. From the New Statesman: "According to a growing number of researchers, the standard story of the influence of genes is overblown. So many other factors influence how we turn out as individuals and how we evolve as a species that the fundamentals of biology need a rewrite." "This is no storm in an academic tearoom," a group of biologists wrote in the journalNature recently: "It is a struggle for the very soul of the discipline."

The gene isn't even necessarily what we think. Diverse genomes can exist in a single person: Mothers' cells may remain in their children and children's cells in their mothers decades after childbirth. So that CD of your genome is both you and your mom?

There are some relatively new genes. There are also "hidden" genes that don't show in current populations but might later. Some genes are not "junk" but also not strictly necessary either: "In the late 1990s a team of researchers at Stanford University created around 6,000 mutants of brewer's yeast, each of them lacking a different single gene, and found that many of them thrived just as well as the unmutated yeast did." No surprise there; successful life forms would feature redundant systems.

Some life forms can edit their genes extensively. Squid can, apparently. A researcher noted, "It was astonishing to find that 60 percent of the squid RNA transcripts were edited." The iconic fruit fly is thought to edit only 3 percent of its makeup.

Some species can have more than one genetic origin. Polyploidy, which means that the species has two complete sets of chromosomes, has been identified in a mimulus plant in Scotland. We learn that polyploids "are common among plants, as well as among certain groups of fish and amphibians. For instance, some salamanders, frogs, and leeches are polyploids." and "Mimulus peregrinus is an example of how some branches can come back together again and spawn new species that are in part the combination of their ancestors."

Basic claims about inheritance principles are also coming under fire. Researchers recently found that Mendel's "law of segregation" (an equal probability of inheriting each of two copies of each gene from both parents)doesn't always hold. We now learn, "For years, scientists had evidence that this law was being broken in mammals, but they didn't know how." Apparently, female mice pass on one copy of the R2d2 gene more frequently than the other copy. This finding, if it holds, matters because the probability of heritable illness is calculated by doctors assuming Mendel's Law. But maybe it's not a law.

Not surprisingly, some respected researchers now question the amount of attention given to the gene as such. A recent Royal Society paper denotes genes as "merely a means of specifying polypeptides." Whether the researchers are right or wrong, they add to a growing chorus against the vision of evolution that started with Darwin and was revived by Mendelian genetics, as natural selection acting on random mutation of genes to create the world of life we see around us.

6. Some data that garner attention in the pop science media sound counterfactual. For example, we are told by some researchers that evolution favors the collapse of cooperation, according to game theory:

"It's a somewhat depressing evolutionary outcome, but it makes intuitive sense," said [Joshua] Plotkin, a professor in Penn's Department of Biology in the School of Arts & Sciences, who coauthored the study with [Alexander] Stewart, a postdoctoral researcher in his lab. "We had a nice picture of how evolution can promote cooperation even amongst self-interested agents and indeed it sometimes can, but, when we allow mutations that change the nature of the game, there is a runaway evolutionary process, and suddenly defection becomes the more robust outcome."

Does it make intuitive sense? How is it that many of the most durable species are adept at co-operation, whether we are talking about humans, bees, or Canada geese? And do we know that a high-observed level of co-operation existed back in the Cambrian?

7. Some claims sound either trivial or politically sourced. For example, we are told, "Some species are evolving far more quickly than Darwin ever imagined." How? "Mosquitoes that colonized the London Underground in 1863 are now so different they can no longer mate with their above-ground relatives. Chinook salmon from Alaska to California needed just a human generation to become smaller and shorter-lived after an increase in commercial fishing in the 1920s. Adaptation is happening right under our noses, in our lifetimes." But all of this can be accounted for, assuming mere loss of information. It is gain in information that matters in evolution.

Then there is the assertion that human-caused climate change will spur the evolution of new species in an evolutionary surge, and that new species are beginning to emerge already. At last! A claim we can verify. What and where are these species?

More problematic are widely publicized false claims about "throwbacks" to earlier human evolutionary time. Some readers may recall the Turkish family that walks on all fours, as a supposed instance of "backward evolution" (along with human tails that turn out to be Photoshopped). But, contradicting earlier claims, a careful study showed that the family members do not walk in a diagonal pattern like apes or monkeys. They walk on all fours as other humans would, if asked to do so (laterally). Their unusual mobility is a response to an untreated human disorder, Uner Tan Syndrome (UTS). Many distressing conditions only come to attention when a person seeks modern medical diagnosis. Urban legends about "evolution" are an unwelcome distraction in such a case.

8. Evolution is often spoken of as if it were a deliberating intelligence, though the idea is considered a heresy. "Evolution," we are told by one respected source, has been "experimenting" with different types of early humans, based on the fact that skeletons show more diverse features than expected. That prompts two questions: If all the passengers in a subway car in a large, multicultural city met a mishap and were fossilized, how many "different species" would be identified today, using current methods? Second, is evolution (Evolution?) an intelligent agent? If it is not possible to speak of evolution's course without resort to the language of agency, is that a defect in human intelligence or an apprehension of fact?

Recently, the Washington Post ran a story about ten fossils that explain life on Earth. They only "explain" life on Earth if you think that ten disconnected headlines constitute an explanation.

Along those lines, we are now told at PBS that we must try thinking harder so that we will come to "believe in" evolution. But what specifically ought we to believe in? And is that really a way to approach science?

Instead, let us take a whirlwind tour of ways evolution is known to occur, as opposed to how grand theories say it occurs, and see what we can find out.

Image: La Brea Tar Pits, Los Angeles, by Charles Robert Knight [Public domain],via Wikimedia Commons.

The thinking planet?

Earth's Biosphere Is Awash in Information

Evolution News & Views 

Visualize an exoplanet far away: dynamic, comfortable, yet lifeless. It has water, plate tectonics, volcanoes, an atmosphere and all the ingredients for life -- but no life. What would be the primary factor distinguishing it from Earth? A new paper in PLOS Biology suggests that its chief drawback, all things being equal, would be a lack of complex specified information.

In this remarkable paper, Landenmark, Forgan, and Cockell of the United Kingdom Centre for Astrobiology at the University of Edinburgh attempt "An Estimate of the Total DNA of the Biosphere." The results are staggering:

Modern whole-organism genome analysis, in combination with biomass estimates, allows us to estimate a lower bound on the total information content in the biosphere: 5.3 × 1031 (±3.6 × 1031) megabases (Mb) of DNA. Given conservative estimates regarding DNA transcription rates, this information content suggestsbiosphere processing speeds exceeding yottaNOPS values (1024Nucleotide Operations Per Second). Although prokaryotes evolved at least 3 billion years before plants and animals, we find that the information content of prokaryotes is similar to plants and animals at the present day. This information-based approachoffers a new way to quantify anthropogenic and natural processesin the biosphere and its information diversity over time.

As a side note, they never explain their odd distinction between "natural" and "anthropomorphic" (are humans not natural?). Their last sentence just says, "This approach may help us understand the changing complexity of the biosphere over time and to predict in new ways, both anthropogenic and natural, future changes in the biosphere." Apparently even typical astrobiologists have an intuitive sense of human exceptionalism.

But returning to the topic of interest, let's ponder the scale of this information content and processing speed. A yottaNOPS is a lotta ops! Each prefix multiplies the prior one by a thousand: kilo, mega, giga, tera, peta, exa, zetta, yotta. A "yottabase" doesn't even come close to the raw information content of DNA they estimate: 1031 megabases. That's the same as 1037 bases, but a yottabase is only 1024 bases (a trillion trillion bases). This means that the information content of the biosphere is 50 x 1013 yottabases (500 trillion yottabases). They estimate that living computers perform a yottaNOPS, or 1024 nucleotide operations per second, on this information.

You can pick yourself off the floor now.

This is a profound indication of the priority of information to life. It's not just the rocks, water, and elements that characterize Earth, but the astonishing amount of information and information processing that goes on all around us. That's why we have fish, birds, insects, bacteria, mammals, and people.

But how does a scientific materialist account for this incredible computing power? Let's see what the three astrobiologists do with it. First, they keenly recognize the similarity of DNA processing to computer processing:

Biodiversity and habitat loss is recognised as a global issue. In response, substantial research effort has been invested in genome sequencing and the preservation of vulnerable species and habitats. However, despite these remarkable advances, to our knowledge, there is still no estimate of the total information content of the biosphere. Using available DNA sequencing and genome data, combined with large-scale surveys of biomass, we present an alternative way of quantifying and understanding biodiversity. This is accomplished by adopting an information view of biodiversity, in which the total amount of information in the biosphere is represented by the available amount of DNA (Fig 1). In this way, the biosphere can be visualised as a large, parallel supercomputer, with the information storage represented by the total amount of DNA and the processing power symbolised by transcription rates. In analogy with the Internet, all organisms on Earth are individual containers of information connected through interactions and biogeochemical cycles in a large, global, bottom-up network. By combining data on genome size, spatial diversity, and mass from different prokaryotes, eukaryotes, and the viruses, we estimate the total biomass for each group and then derive a first-order, lower-bound approximation for the total DNA content of each group.

Figure 1 in their paper, reproduced above, illustrates their main point, summarized by the caption: "Storing the total amount of information encoded in DNA in the biosphere, 5.3 × 1031 megabases (Mb), would require approximately 1021 supercomputers with the average storage capacity of the world's four most powerful supercomputers."

How much land surface would be required for 1021 supercomputers (a "zetta-computer")? The Titan supercomputer takes up 404 m2 of space. If we assume just 100 m2 for each supercomputer, we would still need 1023 square meters to hold them all. Universe Today estimates the total surface of Earth (including the oceans) at 510 million km2, which equates to 5.1 x 1014 m2. That's 9 orders of magnitude short of the zetta-computer footprint, meaning we would need a billion Earths to have enough space for all the computers needed to match the equivalent computing power life performs on DNA!

That calculation included the ocean surface for comparison, since much life is in the ocean. Although life occupies multiple levels in the ocean, land, and air, the biosphere represents a very thin veneer of the Earth's overall volume. It's certainly unreasonable to expect every square meter of a planet's surface to contain computers; where would the power come from? It only requires one planet -- not a billion -- to hold all the DNA processors, because life is so miniaturized and efficient, using energy from the sun.

The implications of this "information-based view of the biosphere" are not lost on the astrobiologists. They dismiss Gaia but leave a door open for intelligent design:

We note that the approach that we propose here (and the analogy of supercomputers) does not necessarily imply a global, Gaia-like superorganism. We merely observe that ultimately all organisms interact with each other and the environment. Thus, theinformation being processed in the biosphere is interlinked in a large mass of organisms, however one chooses to conceptualise this. It does not have to be considered as a single, self-regulating organism. The manner in which the total information in the biosphere is processed, and the degree to which it is coordinated and interlinked in feedback processes, is another matter, but one that could be investigated using an information-based approach.

The rest of the paper discusses how the researchers arrived at their numbers and how the values might have varied over time. (They estimated that the information content in prokaryotes, the simplest organisms, is similar to that of higher organisms -- within two orders of magnitude, which they found surprising.) They also include caveats about assumptions and uncertainties in their measurements and offer suggestions for answering future questions. The whole paper is very interesting.

But the damage is done. Even if their estimates need to be revised by a terabase or two some day, they have made it clear that our biosphere is awash in information. Though clearly evolutionists, they have presented a significant challenge to scientific materialism to account for all this processing power. Simultaneously, they demonstrate the fruitfulness of an information-based approach to the investigation of life.

Might we suggest they take a look at Being as Communion by William Dembski in their spare time.

Stalinism redux? III

Russia’s Supreme Court Ruling Has Negative Impact on Jehovah’s Witnesses

Russia’s Supreme Court decision of April 20, 2017, is having a severe nationwide impact on Jehovah’s Witnesses. Authorities are violating the Witnesses’ fundamental freedoms and criminalizing their religious activities. At the same time, some Russian citizens interpret the decision as a license to discriminate against the Witnesses and even to subject them to hate crimes.

Russian Government Abuses and Restrictions on Human Rights

Criminal Charges Against Ministers of Jehovah’s Witnesses

On May 25, police raided the religious services of the Oryol Congregation of Jehovah’s Witnesses. The police arrested Dennis Christensen, a Danish citizen and an elder of the Oryol Congregation. Mr. Christensen is being held in pretrial detention until July 23 while the prosecutor attempts to build a case against him for “extremist activity.” If convicted, Mr. Christensen could be sentenced to a six-to-ten-year prison term.

Official Warnings Issued to Local Religious Organizations

On May 4, the prosecutor’s office issued a warning to the chairman of the Krymsk Local Religious Organization (LRO). The warning stated that the chairman and the members of the LRO can be subject to administrative and criminal liability for holding religious services.

Since the Supreme Court ruling, at least five other LROs have received similar warnings.

Police Raids on Religious Services

On April 22, police entered the Witnesses’ house of worship in Dzhankoy, Republic of Crimea, as religious services were concluding. The officers insisted that after the Supreme Court decision, the Witnesses had no right to meet together for worship. They searched the building and then sealed it to prevent its use for religious meetings.

Since the Supreme Court decision, there have been at least five other instances where police interrupted religious services of the Witnesses, one of which was held in a private home.

“I’m deeply concerned by this unwarranted criminalization of the peaceful activities of members of the Jehovah’s Witnesses communities in Russia. . . . I urge the Russian authorities to ensure that rights to freedom of religion or belief, freedom of opinion and expression, freedom of peaceful assembly and association of individuals belonging to the Jehovah’s Witnesses community are upheld, in compliance with the obligations of the country under international human rights law and OSCE [Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe] commitments.”—Michael Georg Link, Director of the OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights.

Witness Schoolchildren Targeted

On April 24, in the village of Bezvodnoye, Kirov Region, a teacher humiliated two young students whose mother is one of Jehovah’s Witnesses. The teacher justified her actions by stating that the Witnesses are banned in Russia.

On May 17, in the Moscow Region, a school principal issued a written warning to the parents of an eight-year-old student who had spoken about God to a classmate. The document referred to the Supreme Court decision and prohibited on school grounds “all actions that do not relate to the educational process.” The principal threatened to report the matter to the police and “to raise the issue of transferring the child to another form of training.”

Witness Men Denied Alternative Civilian Service

On April 28, the Conscription Commission of the Cheboksary and Marposadskiy regions rejected the application of one of Jehovah’s Witnesses for alternative service. The Commission stated that Jehovah’s Witnesses are “extremist” and cannot be granted alternative service.

At least two other male Witnesses similarly had their applications for alternative civilian service denied.

Philip Brumley, general counsel for Jehovah’s Witnesses, noted the contradiction in the government’s stance: “On the one hand, the government refuses alternative civilian service to young Witnesses because they are ‘extremists,’ while on the other hand, it demands that these ‘extremists’ be inducted into the army. Does it make sense that the government would allow ‘extremists’ to be in the army?”

Societal Abuses and Discrimination

Acts of Violence Against Witnesses

On April 30, in Lutsino, Moscow Region, the home of a Witness family was burned to the ground, along with the adjoining home of their elderly parents. The arsonist had first expressed his hatred for the family’s religion and then started the fire.

On May 24, in Zheshart, Komi Republic, arsonists caused significant damage to a building used by Jehovah’s Witnesses for religious services.

Kingdom Hall in Zheshart damaged by arson

At least nine other houses of worship have been vandalized since the Supreme Court decision of April 20, 2017.

On April 26, one of Jehovah’s Witnesses in Belgorod was leaving his home when an attacker yelled, “You have been banned!” and then he beat the Witness.

On May 11, a group of men interrupted the religious services of Jehovah’s Witnesses in Tyumen and, using obscene and insulting language, threatened to harm the attendees.

Witnesses Dismissed From Employment

On May 15, the management of a chemical factory in Dorogobuzh, Smolensk Region, dismissed all of its employees who are Jehovah’s Witnesses. The management explained that they had received an order from the FSB to dismiss all of the Witnesses because “extremists” cannot work at the factory.

In at least three other incidents since the Supreme Court decision, Witness employees have been threatened with dismissal because they belong to an “extremist” religion. In the village of Yashkino, Kemerovo Region, the police pressured one Witness, but she refused to divulge information on other Witnesses. The officers said that it was unlawful to be a member of a banned religion and likened Jehovah’s Witnesses to ISIS terrorists.

Concern for the Welfare of Jehovah’s Witnesses in Russia

In the ten years leading up to the Supreme Court decision, Jehovah’s Witnesses in Russia were  victims of a government-sponsored attack against their religious freedom that subjected them to much harassment. Now in the aftermath of the decision, their security is even less certain. The decision vilifies the Witnesses and has emboldened some individuals and government officials to inflict further harm, as exemplified by these recent incidents. Jehovah’s Witnesses worldwide are greatly concerned about what will happen to their fellow Witnesses in Russia if the Appellate Chamber of the Supreme Court upholds the decision when it considers the case on July 17, 2017.

Mr. Brumley stated: “No one has presented any evidence that even remotely links Jehovah’s Witnesses with extremism. The alleged danger that the Witnesses are accused of posing to society is in no way commensurate with the persecution they have already endured. Russia needs to rethink its actions against Jehovah’s Witnesses in light of its constitution and its international agreements that guarantee religious freedom.”

Ragnarok for the RNA world?

As a Solution to the Origin of Life, RNA World Model Comes Under Attack

According to a recent article at New Scientist, "Why 'RNA world' theory on origin of life may be wrong after all," the RNA world model of the origin of life is under attack:

Life has a chicken-and-egg problem: enzymes are needed to make nucleic acids -- the genetic material -- but to build them you need the genetic information contained in nucleic acids. So most researchers assume that the earliest life, long before the evolution of cells, consisted of RNA molecules. These contain genetic information but can also fold into complex shapes, so could serve as enzymes to help make more RNA in their own image -- enabling Darwinian evolution on a molecular level.

At some point, the idea goes, this RNA world ended when life outsourced enzymatic functions to proteins, which are more versatile. The key step in this switch was the evolution of the ribosome, a structure that builds protein molecules from genetic blueprints held in RNA.

But such a transition would require abandoning the enzymatic functions of RNA and reinventing them in proteins. "That is not a simple model," says Loren Williams, a biochemist at the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta.

That's a reasonable point at the end of the quote: If a self-replicating system has all of the enzymatic functions it needs from RNAs (something that hasn't been demonstrated), then rebuilding that system using an entirely different type of molecule (proteins) would be an extremely difficult task and highly unlikely. Yet this is essentially precisely what the classical RNA world model requires.

But there are many other criticisms of the RNA world model. A 2012 paper inBiology Direct by biochemist Harold S Bernhardt keenly titled, "The RNA world hypothesis: the worst theory of the early evolution of life (except for all the others)," notes that "the following objections have been raised to the RNA world hypothesis":

(i) RNA is too complex a molecule to have arisen prebiotically; (ii) RNA is inherently unstable; (iii) catalysis is a relatively rare property of long RNA sequences only; and (iv) the catalytic repertoire of RNA is too limited.

Now the author himself accepts the view that the RNA world is the best materialistic model for the origin of life. But he's very frank about its problems. For example, regarding the objection that "RNA is too complex a molecule to have arisen prebiotically," he writes:

RNA is an extremely complex molecule, with four different nitrogen-containing heterocycles hanging off a back-bone of alternating phosphate and D-ribose groups joined by 3',5' linkages. Although there are a number of problems with its prebiotic synthesis, there are a few indications that these may not be insurmountable. Following on from the earlier work of Sanchez and Orgel, Powner, Sutherland and colleagues have published a pathway for the synthesis of pyrimidine nucleotides utilizing plausibly prebiotic precursor molecules, albeit with the necessity of their timed delivery (this requirement for timed delivery has been criticized by Benner and colleagues, although most origin of life models invoke a succession of changing conditions, dealing as they do with the evolution of chemical systems over time; what is critical is the plausibility of the changes).

We covered the research of Powner and Sutherland here and here, pointing out that it was carefully designed to yield the desired results and noting how the goal-directed nature of the experiment undermines claims of the model's plausibility under unguided natural conditions. Hence the criticism that it has an unlikely "requirement for timed delivery."

Bernhardt then moves on to another criticism:

RNA is often considered too unstable to have accumulated in the prebiotic environment. RNA is particularly labile at moderate to high temperatures, and thus a number of groups have proposed the RNA world may have evolved on ice, possibly in the eutectic phase (a liquid phase within the ice solid).

But there's a major problem with the "cold" origin of life hypothesis: at low temperatures, reactions become so slow that nothing interesting ever happens. That's going to be a problem for many types of organic chemistry necessary for the origin of life. This is an especially significant problem when one considers that life appeared on earth very rapidly after conditions became favorable:

"...we have now what we believe is strong evidence for life on Earth 3,800 thousand million years [ago]. This brings the theory for the Origin of Life on Earth down to a very narrow range ... we are now thinking, in geochemical terms, of instant life..." (C. Ponnamperuma,Evolution from Space 1981.)

"[W]e are left with very little time between the development of suitable conditions for life on the earth's surface and the origin of life. Life is not a complex accident that required immense time to convert the vastly improbable into the nearly certain. Instead, life, for all its intricacy, probably arose rapidly about as soon as it could." (Stephen Jay Gould, "An Early Start," Natural History, February, 1978.)

A cold origin of life makes it much more difficult for life to arise under such a short timescale. Moreover, the notion that the early earth was cold rather than hot flies in the face of everything geologists have ever said about the conditions on the early earth.

Next, Bernhardt notes that "Catalysis is a relatively rare property of long RNA sequences only," and he offers a nice discussion of the gross improbability of randomly producing a long, self-replicating RNA molecule:

The RNA world hypothesis has been criticized because of the belief that long RNA sequences are needed for catalytic activity, and for the enormous numbers of andomized sequences required to isolate catalytic and binding functions using in vitro selection. For example, the best ribozyme replicase created so far -- able to replicate an impressive 95-nucleotide stretch of RNA -- is ~190 nucleotides in length, far too long a sequence to have arisen through any conceivable process of random assembly. And typically 10,000,000,000,000-1,000,000,000,000,000 randomized RNA molecules are required as a starting point for the isolation of ribozymic and/or binding activity in in vitro selection experiments, completely divorced from the probable prebiotic situation. As Charles Carter, in a published review of our recent paper inBiology Direct, puts it:

"I, for one, have never subscribed to this view of the origin of life, and I am by no means alone. The RNA world hypothesis is driven almost entirely by the flow of data from very high technology combinatorial libraries, whose relationship to the prebiotic world is anything but worthy of "unanimous support". There are several serious problems associated with it, and I view it as little more than a popular fantasy" (reviewer's report in [5]).

1014 - 1016 is an awful lot of RNA molecules.

Don't miss what's being said here: the argument directly parallels ID proponents who observe that it's extremely unlikely for an RNA molecule with just the right nucleotide sequence needed for self-replication to arise by chance. In other words, he's making the information sequence challenge to the origin of life.

Now Bernhardt proposes that perhaps the first self-replicating RNA was much shorter, reducing the probabilistic obstacles to randomly generating the right nucleotide sequence. But the evidence that this is actually possible is non-existent. Indeed, one of the reviewers, Eugene Koonin, points out that such a self-replicating RNA -- whether long or short -- has yet to be demonstrated:

I basically agree with Bernhardt. The RNA World scenario is bad as a scientific hypothesis: it is hardly falsifiable and is extremely difficult to verify due to a great number of holes in the most important parts. To wit, no one has achieved bona fide self-replication of RNA which is the cornerstone of the RNA World.

Finally, Bernhardt explains a fourth problem with the RNA world model, namely "The catalytic repertoire of RNA is too limited":

It has been suggested that the probable metabolic requirements of an RNA world would have exceeded the catalytic capacity of RNA. The majority of naturally occurring ribozymes catalyze phosphoryl transfer reactions -- the making and breaking of RNA phosphodiester bonds. Although the most efficient of these ribozymes catalyze the reaction at a comparable rate to protein enzymes -- and in vitro selection has isolated ribozymes with a far wider range of catalytic abilities -- the estimate of proteins being one million times fitter than RNA as catalysts seems reasonable, presumably due to proteins being composed of 22 chemically rather different amino acids as opposed to the 4 very similar nucleotides of RNA.

While Bernhardt discusses the various kinds of reactions that RNA can catalyze, he admits "RNAs are, in most cases, worse catalysts than proteins." That sounds like Bernhardt just conceded the validity of the criticism that he described against the RNA world. Somehow, however, he manages to spin the inferiority of RNA catalysis, turning it into not a knock against the RNA world, but an argument for it: "This [the inferior catalytic abilities of RNA] implies that their [RNA's] presence in modern biological systems can best be explained by their being remnants of an earlier stage of evolution, which were too embedded in biological systems to allow replacement easily."

So RNA is used by living organisms -- despite its inferior catalytic abilities -- only because evolution wasn't able to replace it? But aren't we constantly told how proteins can evolve to accommodate virtually any need of an organism? Doesn't this suggest severe limits to the evolvability of proteins? Now it seems that limits to evolution have become an argument forevolution.

This tortured logic brings us back to the criticism raised in the recent New Scientist article: the RNA world model is unlikely to be correct because it requires that proteins (with superior chemistry-catalyzing abilities) somehow swooped in and replaced what RNA was doing. That seems very unlikely. But Bernhardt again tries to spin this dilemma into an argument for the RNA world -- that difficulties replacing RNA with protein point to the fact that RNA was once a precursor of life. However, if it's so hard to replace RNA with proteins, how do we know that it happened in all the other cases required by the RNA world model?

It seems that whether proteins did or did not replace RNA, we're being told that in either case that's evidence for the RNA world. No wonder Eugene Koonin called the model "unfalsifiable."

So why does anyone prefer the RNA world model, given all its problems? Koonin provides the answer in his reviewer's comments at the end of Bernhardt's article -- it's because he requires some materialistic model, and other materialistic models clearly won't explain the origin of replication:

[T]he RNA World appears to be an outright logical inevitability. 'Something' had to start efficiently replicating to kick off evolution, and proteins do not have this ability.

Koonin's argument thus goes like this: We know that unguided evolution is true, so some evolutionary model must be correct. If other unguided models of life's origins won't work, then the RNA world must be correct, because "something" had to happen to get life started.

But what if the RNA world itself has many problems and so it isn't a viable solution? That's not an option Koonin seems willing to consider. He's right that "something" has to get life started. But there is a third way that Koonin hasn't considered. That third way -- the "something" he won't consider -- is the only known cause that can generate the kind of highly complex and specified digital sequences required at the origin of life: intelligent design.

Tree of the undead ?

Zombie Science: Jonathan Wells on Overselling Darwin’s Tree of Life
David Klinghoffer | @d_klinghoffer

There’s no denying the sly brilliance of the evolutionary Tree of Life, memorialized in Darwin’s Origin by the only illustration in that famous book. In its own origin, of course, the Tree of Life is a sacred and mysterious image from the Book of Genesis. Evolutionary theory takes it and twists into the symbol of an idea, universal common ancestry, that collides heads on with the simplest reading of the Genesis creation account. Take that, creationists!

All of life may be related as Darwin hypothesized, or it may not. Certainly, though, the science behind the evolutionary tree of life has been vastly oversold. Author of  Zombie Science: More Icons of Evolution,  biologist Jonathan Wells explains in a new video conversation why that is so.

With his own sly humor, Dr. Wells points out some scientific problems with regarding Darwin’s Tree as unassailable fact. There can be only one “true tree,” yet fossil, molecular, and other data fail to resolve into any such thing. At the time of the publication of Dr. Wells’s 2000 book, Icons of Evolution, many scientists still hoped that this situation would resolve itself. It hasn’t. Seventeen years later, inferences from available data are even more confusing. There is still no realistic prospect of a “true tree” emerging.

Meanwhile, increasing awareness of orphan genes, genes without parallels from one taxon to another, collide head on with evolutionary expectations. Researchers proposing their own “trees” are compelled to cherry-pick, simply ignoring the inconvenient yet widespread orphans.

It looks more and more like the true tree is an illusion. “The reason we get a tree,” in the first place, says Dr. Wells, “is only because we assume at the outset that it’s there.” Meanwhile, year after year, Darwin’s apologists persuade the public, including school kids, that all is well and scientists are homing in on the one and only tree. This is zombie science in its purest, most staggering, shuffling form.

Ancient nanotech v. Darwin

Cell Machines Maintain the Planet for Life
Evolution News | @DiscoveryCSC

Count the mentions of the word “machines” in this news from the University of Liverpool:

“Nanotechnology reveals hidden depths of bacterial ‘machines’…”

“New research from the University of Liverpool, published in the journal  Nanoscale has probed the structure and material properties of protein machines in bacteria, which have the capacity to convert carbon dioxide into sugar through photosynthesis.”

“Unique internal ‘machines’ in cyanobacteria, called carboxysomes, allow the organisms to convert carbon dioxide to sugar and provide impacts on global biomass production and our environment.”

“So far, little is known about how these ‘machines’ are constructed and maintain their organisation to perform carbon fixation activity.”

“They then used electron microscopy and atomic force microscopy to visualise the morphology and internal protein organization of these bacterial machines.”

“‘We’re now just starting to understand how these bacterial machines are built and work in nature. Our long-term vision is to harness the knowledge to make further steps towards better design and engineering of bio-inspired machines,’ added Dr Liu. ‘The knowledge and techniques can be extended to other biological machines.’” [Emphasis added.]

That’s a lot of machine language for one short article! And it doesn’t even include related words like mechanical, nanotechnology, and structure. They’re talking about an amazing little organelle in cyanobacteria (once considered among the most primitive of cells) called the carboxysome — one of those tiny wonders most people don’t know about but depend on for life.

Cyanobacteria are a phylum of bacteria that produce oxygen and energy during photosynthesis, similar to green plants. They are among the most abundant organisms in oceans and fresh water.

As the article states, the machines in carboxysomes “provide impacts on global biomass production and our environment” by using sunlight to turn carbon dioxide into sugar, releasing oxygen for us to breathe.

Carboxysomes are polyhedral structures resembling a viral capsid, except that these living machine factories are “much softer and structurally flexible, which is correlated to their formation dynamics and regulation in bacteria.” Zooming in, we find higher levels of organization. The paper in Nanoscale says:

The protein shell serves as a physical barrier to protect enzymes from the cytosol and a selectively permeable membrane to mediate transport of enzyme substrates and products.

There’s more. The team found three structural domains inside, “a single-layered icosahedral shell, an inner layer and paracrystalline arrays of interior Rubisco.” Rubisco? Is that some kind of cracker? No — it’s another one of the most important things in nature you may have never heard of, and here it is, laid out in nice orderly rows in a geometric nanofactory.

Short for “Ribulose 1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase” (thank goodness), Rubisco is the most abundant protein on earth. According to PNAS, this machine solves an “abominably perplexing puzzle” of distinguishing between “featureless” molecules of carbon dioxide and oxygen, and it “may be nearly perfectly optimized” to do so. Once it was thought to be a slow, sluggish enzyme that leaks, but the authors find otherwise:

We assert that all Rubiscos may be nearly perfectly adapted to the differing CO2, O2, and thermal conditions in their subcellular environments, optimizing this compromise between CO2/O2 specificity and the maximum rate of catalytic turnover.

Commenting in Nature on that 2006 paper, Howard Griffiths added some amazing facts about Rubisco:

Rubisco has the reputation of being slow and inefficient, but it is one of life’s big successes: globally there is an estimated 5–10 kg Rubisco for every person on Earth, and each year it reacts with 15% of the total pool of atmospheric CO2.

Working alongside Rubisco in those neatly arranged layers inside the carboxysome is another amazing enzyme, carbonic anhydrase. Last year, we learned about how this “fine-tuned” enzyme (one of the few that employs zinc in its active site) helps salmon get an energy boost for their muscles when they leap waterfalls. Here it is again in cyanobacteria, working with Rubisco to regulate the levels of carbon dioxide by converting it to bicarbonate or back again as needed. The Protein Data Bank says, “Carbonic anhydrase is an enzyme that assists rapid inter-conversion of carbon dioxide and water into carbonic acid, protons and bicarbonate ions.” This ubiquitous enzyme is found in mammals, plants, algae, and bacteria.

The current study in Nanoscale explains why compartmentalization of these machines is important:

Within the cytosol which is a crowded and changing environment, it is important that carboxysomes are sufficiently robust to ensure the proper protein assembly, encapsulation of Rubisco enzymes and functional architecture. On the other hand, they are also flexible and dynamic to allow metabolite passage, turnover of building modules and interactions with other cellular components.

It’s not a prison, in other words, but a lively factory with windows and doors, yet it sequesters the machines safely for their protection. Carboxysomes are examples of bacterial microcompartments (BMCs) we’ve discussed before. These sure look designed: “The protein shell, structurally resembling virus capsids, is made of multiple protein paralogs forming hexagons and pentagons, and acts as a physical barrier that controls the passage of substrates and products of enzymatic reactions.” One can find spontaneous hexagons in nature, but some of them are clearly designed: those that exhibit “functional coherence” to use Doug Axe’s term (Undeniable, p. 160, pp. 178-181).

The authors don’t seem to have much use for evolutionary theory; anyway, they never mention it in the paper. But they did have design on their minds:

The study provides novel insights into the inherent structure and physical elasticity of native β-carboxysomes. It will empower our toolbox for the design and construction of functional metabolic machinery with applications in bioengineering and nanotechnology.

The report from the University of Liverpool amplifies the design theme:

“We’re now just starting to understand how these bacterial machines are built and work in nature. Our long-term vision is to harness the knowledge to make further steps towards better design and engineering of bio-inspired machines,” added Dr Liu, “The knowledge and techniques can be extended to other biological machines.”

Let’s end with some “wow” facts about a tiny cyanobacterium you may not have heard of. It contains these molecular factories (carboxysomes) loaded with Rubisco and carbonic anhydrase, working day and night to cleanse our atmosphere and regulate global carbon. Its name is Prochlorococcus. Sallie W. Chisholm says this about it in her Quick Guide in  Current Biology:

“We now know that there are about 100 million of these tiny powerhouses in each liter of seawater over vast oceanic regions,” and yet “they are 100 body lengths away” from each other.

Prochlorococcus “is the smallest and most abundant photosynthetic cell on Earth.”

“There is an estimated 3 x 10(exp)27 of them in the oceans, collectively weighing twice as much as all humans, and sporting a surface area 100 times that of the Earth.”

“They constitute half of the chlorophyll over vast ocean ecosystems, single-handedly supplying significant amounts of organic carbon to the rest of the microbial food web.”

“…they are extremely efficient photosynthetic machines.”

“…their genomes represent one of the most streamlined blueprints for life.”

“With a lower bound of 1,800 genes, they synthesize biomass using only solar energy, CO2 and inorganic compounds. That’s minimal life. That’s impressive!”

Carboxysomes rule the world. What if there had not been enough magnesium (for the chlorophyll) and zinc (for the carbonic anhydrase) close to the surface to supply the layers of enzymes in the factories of all those trillion quintillion cells? The Earth seems to have set the stage for complex life, a point Michael Denton would no doubt appreciate.

Your survival guide to Darwinism's zombie apocalypse.

For the Public School Biology Teacher, Zombie Science Makes an Outstanding Resource
David Klinghoffer | @d_klinghoffer

Imagine you’re a public high school biology teacher in a state where you are permitted to share objective scientific critiques of evolutionary theory in the classroom – the strengths and weaknesses of Darwinism. Where do you turn for a reliable, responsible resource to help you clarify the issues for your students?

Here’s a great idea: check out biologist Jonathan Wells’s new book,  Zombie Science: More Icons of Evolution. Dr. Wells and fellow biologist Ray Bohlin talk about that in a new ID the Future podcast.

Listen to it here now, or download it here.

Dr. Bohlin was closely involved with recent revisions to science standards in Texas, and he describes what happened in his state. So let’s say you’re a 9th grade biology teacher there. You want to talk with students about the consistent pattern of abrupt appearance of species in the fossil record – an observation inconsistent with Darwinian predictions; about the mystery of where biological information in DNA comes from, or the puzzle of whale evolution.

Zombie Science covers all of these subjects. The idea, obviously, isn’t to use it as textbook. It’s written (very accessibly) with the thoughtful adult in mind, not for a 9th grader. But teachers will find the book very useful for the background it provides.

Wells and Bohlin do note that in a public high school setting, it would be very ill advised to take the discussion some steps further to the question of design in life’s origins. If Darwinism is hobbled as an explanation for biology’s grandeur, however, what then? Dr. Bohlin admits that as a teacher, he’s uncomfortable saying “I don’t know.” But this is the wisest response.

Letting the stones speak.

Letting the stones speak II

Phillip Johnson tells why he will not buy the wares of a blind watchmaker.

Discarded on the battlefield?

Evolutionary Biologist Backs Off from Computer Simulations
David Klinghoffer | @d_klinghoffer

PZ Myers is an atheist activist and evolutionary biologist whose blog is more about promoting his left-wing politics than it is about evolution. But this caught my eye. In denouncing me for a  brief post here recommending a podcast interview with Introduction to Evolutionary Informatics   co-author Winston Ewert, Professor Myers tellingly backs off from the idea of computer simulations of evolution,at least where the Cambrian explosion is concerned.

He doesn’t like our use of the term “falsify,” or that I call the geologically sudden Cambrian event an “event.” But these are minor points. This I find very interesting. Dr. Myers writes:

I also take exception to creationist’s [sic] constant focus on “computer models”. Computer models are useful tools for assessing some ideas, but they’re no substitute for real data…especially when the events you’re pursuing are not simple, and have a million different equally valid ways of producing a result. Again with the binary thinking: Cambrian evolution will not be described with a “yes” or a “no”.

I’m also going to call shenanigans on his assumptions. The Cambrian was not an “event”. It was a long, multi-million year series of events, and it was driven by multiple phenomena. There was the pre-Cambrian bioturbation revolution, in which the evolution of worms with hydraulic skeletons drove massive turnover of nutrients in sediments; there was the gradual increase in atmospheric oxygen, which made more energetic organisms possible; there was a long history of evolution of animal lineages before the Cambrian that set the stage with breadth and depth of diversity. How do you “simulate” all that on a computer? And why bother, because you know creationists like Klinghoffer will simply reject any result that shows an increase in complexity without an infusion of biological information (whatever that means) as cheating?

Most importantly, no one with any sense or competence would carry out such a simulation to falsify creationism, an endeavor with no reward, since they’ll just move the goalposts as they always have.

Now, Dr. Ewert’s point was that computer evolution simulations, as a rule, fail. I would expect this. If they succeeded, that would be a problem for alternatives to unguided evolution.

Ewert was simply reiterating the conclusion that he and co-authors Robert Marks and William Dembski reach, after meticulous investigation, in their book. As Marks puts it,“There exists no model successfully describing undirected Darwinian evolution. Period. By ‘model,’ we mean definitive simulations or foundational mathematics required of a hard science.” In turn, Marks, Dembski, and Ewert were responding to the challenge of a distinguished mathematician, Gregory Chaitin, in his book,Proving Darwin: Making Biology Mathematical

Dr. Chaitin wrote:

The honor of mathematics requires us to come up with a mathematical theory of evolution and either prove that Darwin was wrong or right!

Giving some mathematical rigor to evolutionary theory is not the “focus” of “creationists,” as Myers thinks. Gregory Chaitin is not a “creationist,” or a proponent of the theory of intelligent design. But he is a candid and gracious interlocutor. In a comment about the Marks-Dembski-Ewert book, he said that it was “An honest attempt to discuss what few people seem to realize is an important problem.” Well, well.

Others feel similarly. Here are a couple of further comments gathered by the publisher. Bijan Nemati of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory:

With penetrating brilliance, and with a masterful exercise of pedagogy and wit, the authors take on Chaitin’s challenge, that Darwin’s theory should be subjectable to a mathematical assessment and either pass or fail. Surveying over seven decades of development in algorithmics and information theory, they make a compelling case that it fails.

Professor Donald Wunsch, who directs the Applied Computational Intelligence Lab at Missouri University of Science & Technology:

Introduction to Evolutionary Informatics is a lucid, entertaining, even witty discussion of important themes in evolutionary computation, relating them to information theory. It’s far more than that, however. It is an assessment of how things might have come to be the way they are, applying an appropriate scientific skepticism to the hypothesis that random processes can explain many observed phenomena.

That – whether “random processes can explain many observed phenomena” in life – is exactly the question to consider. Another atheist evolutionary biologist, Richard Dawkins, used to think that simulations held out great promise for settling the issue. (See, for example, Jonathan Witt’s post,Richard Dawkins’s Weasel Program Is Bad in Ways You Never Dreamed ) This is not an issue that “creationists” invented.

And now, just as a major work of ID research arrives, at the cutting edge of thinking on the subject, PZ Myers whines about how simulations are hopeless anyway: “How do you ‘simulate’ all that on a computer? And why bother, because you know creationists like Klinghoffer will simply reject any result that shows an increase in complexity…”

It’s just what Robert Marks wrote here the other day.. He responded to ten common objections to the evidence in Introduction to Evolutionary Informatics. This one is Myers in a nutshell:

2. But Darwinian evolution is so complicated, it can’t be modeled!

If this objection is true, we have reached the same conclusion by different paths: There exists no model successfully describing undirected Darwinian evolution.

Which means that on anyone’s honest analysis, Darwinism fails to deliver on an expectation of what Marks calls “hard science.”

Myers is saying that simulations can’t work, and even if they could, “no one with any sense or competence” would “bother” going through with the exercise for fear of being shown the door by…who? Me? What?? Sorry, that is just a pathetic excuse, among the lamest from evolutionary advocates that I’ve heard in a while, which is saying something.

Incidentally, for more on the Cambrian explosion from the perspective of biological information and the challenge of making evolution mathematically rigorous, see our brief video, The Information Enigma, highlighting the work of Doug Axe and Stephen Meyer. Click on the image – a scene from the video – at the top of this post.

Giving"on time" a whole new meaning.

Hyper-precise atomic clocks face off to redefine time:
Next-generation timekeepers can only be tested against each other.

Elizabeth Gibney

02 June 2015


Happy birthday, caesium clock. Now move over. As the atomic clock used to define time itself turns 60, tests are set to begin on a new generation of clocks that are designed to give the caesium version a run for its money.

Such timekeepers would enable a variety of experiments, including testing whether the fundamental constants of nature really are constant over time, and, eventually, a more precise official definition of the second.

Atomic clocks track the frequency of electromagnetic waves emitted by atoms as they change energy states. First demonstrated by British physicist Louis Essen in June 1955, the caesium clock became the world’s official timekeeper in 1967 — defining the second as the time it takes for the microwaves that are absorbed or emitted when caesium atoms switch between states to cycle through 9,192,631,770 oscillations.

Over the past decade, various laboratories have created prototype optical atomic clocks, which use different elements such as strontium and ytterbium that emit and absorb higher-frequency photons in the visible spectrum. This finer slicing of time should, in principle, make them more accurate: it is claimed that the best of these clocks gain or lose no more than one second every 15 billion years (1018 seconds) — longer than the current age of the Universe — making them 100 times more precise than their caesium counterparts. Optical clocks are claimed to be the best timekeepers in existence, but the only way to verify this in practice is to compare different models against each other and see whether they agree.

Starting on 4 June, four European laboratories will kick off this testing process — the National Physical Laboratory (NPL) in Teddington, UK; the department of Time-Space Reference Systems at the Paris Observatory; the German National Metrology Institute (PTB) in Braunschweig, Germany; and Italy’s National Institute of Metrology Research in Turin. Between them, the labs host a variety of optical clocks that harness different elements in different experimental set-ups.

For the first test, each institute will transmit a signal related to the optical frequency of its clocks to a satellite, which will beam the frequencies back down to the other labs. This will allow the labs to compare the frequencies of light emitted by their clocks and thus measure whether they all keep time to the same beat.

“We all think our clocks have a very good potential for achieving the highest accuracy.”
“It’s really exciting,” says Andrew Ludlow, a physicist at an optical-clock powerhouse run by the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) in Boulder, Colorado, who is not involved in the project. “A couple of comparisons of optical clocks have been made before, but on nothing like this scale.” With more clocks, it should be easier to root out the source of any discrepancies, adds Helen Margolis, a physicist at the NPL.

She notes that a higher frequency does not necessarily mean a more accurate clock, because varying sensitivities to environmental factors can affect the ability of different clocks to keep time in practice. The hope is that all the clocks will agree, suggesting that they are as precise as claimed. If some clocks do not, it will indicate that improvements are needed.

The initial test is only a prelude to a more accurate test, however, because it has one big limitation: to beam light to a satellite, it must be converted to a microwave frequency — which means that much of the potential extra accuracy gained by using visible light is lost. By increasing the rate of data transfer, the European labs hope to improve the accuracy of current state-of-the-art satellite comparisons by ten, but it will still be limited to one part in 1016. So the main function of the satellite test is to build confidence in optical clocks and show that they perform at least as well as existing caesium clocks, say researchers.

The more accurate test will transmit signals in the visible spectrum through fibre-optic cables to the labs. This will allow the clocks to be compared with an accuracy similar to the expected accuracies of the clocks themselves. Some of the labs have already established such links, and tests have begun on sections between Paris and Teddington, and Paris and Braunschweig. “Eventually, this would allow a four-way comparison. That’s the vision,” says Margolis.

“There is friendly competition,” she adds. “We all think our clocks have a very good potential for achieving the highest accuracy or we wouldn’t be working on them.”

Fibre-optic links between optical atomic clocks already exist elsewhere, such as between the NIST lab and its partner lab JILA, also in Boulder. But these span shorter distances than the European network and are mostly between just two labs. “Europe is in a unique position as it has a high density of the best clocks in the world,” says Fritz Riehle, a physicist at PTB.

Even if the clocks pass this later test, usurping the caesium clock to create a more precise definition of the second will not be easy. International atomic time — on which coordinated universal time, or UTC, is based — is currently calculated by averaging measurements from hundreds of atomic clocks. Doing the same with optical atomic clocks would require a way to aggregate time at this precise level; using the fibre-optic method across oceans is not currently feasible.

In the meantime, ever more precise time is important for improving global positioning systems, high-resolution radio astronomy and the time-stamping of financial transactions, as well as spotting tiny variations in fundamental constants. “Most attempts to unify gravity with other forces would lead to variations of fundamental constants in the expanding Universe,” says Marianna Safronova, a theorist at the University of Delaware in Newark.