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We infer from the mutants examined that successful functional conversion would in this case require seven or more nucleotide substitutions.This presents a serious problem for Darwinian evolution since a 2010 paper by Axe found that a feature that would require more than two maladaptive mutations, or more than six neutral mutations, before providing an advantage could not arise in the entire history of the earth. Gauger and Axe (2011) concluded:
[E]volutionary innovations requiring that many changes would be extraordinarily rare, becoming probable only on timescales much longer than the age of life on earth. Considering that Kbl2 and BioF2 are judged to be close homologs by the usual similarity measures, this result and others like it challenge the conventional practice of inferring from similarity alone that transitions to new functions occurred by Darwinian evolution.Their 2011 study thus provided a "disproof of concept" of the co-option model. However, it only looked at two proteins. What if other proteins are more easily convertible? Last December, in a landmark peer-reviewed paper published in BIO-Complexity, Axe, Gauger, and biologist Mariclair Reeves presented new research on additional proteins in the same family. They showed that these proteins too are not amenable to an evolutionary conversion to perform the function of BioF2.
The present study has added to our previous examination of these problems in several respects. We have shown, based on sequence alignment of α-oxoamine synthases (a subset of the GAT family), that our previous use of rational design did indeed target regions of Kbl2 that are likely to be functionally significant. Furthermore we have now shown that the lack of a simple evolutionary transition to BioF2 function is not at all unique to our initial choice of Kbl2 as the starting point. Single mutations cannot convert any of eight other members of the GAT family to that function, despite the fact that all of these enzymes are regarded as close evolutionary relatives.Then they tried double-mutation libraries. They were able to try 70 percent of the double-mutations in two enzymes that are thought to be the most likely candidates for conversion to function like BioF2: Kbl2 and another enzyme, BIKB, which is said to have both BioF2 and Kbl2 functions. They write:
[W]e have demonstrated that converting either Kbl2 or BIKB to perform the function BioF2 with two DNA base substitutions is at least mildly unlikely, in that neither conversion was found after examining over two thirds of the possibilities. Of course, many possibilities remain unexamined. Although it is certainly possible for a working combination to be among those unchecked possibilities, we think it is more informative at this point to ask the fundamental question of whether the available evidence as a whole really supports the idea that evolutionary recruitment is the cause of functional diversity in enzyme families.This suggests that at least two mutations would be necessary to convert a protein in this family to perform the function of BioF2. But it's likely that additional mutations would be necessary for these evolutionary conversions. To be specific, the co-option model requires that a gene become duplicated, and then overexpressed before it can evolve some new function. Thus, at least two more mutations are needed -- one to duplicate the gene and another to overexpress it.
In bacteria, however, pseudogenes are deleted rapidly from genomes, suggesting that their presence is somehow deleterious. The distribution of pseudogenes among sequenced strains of Salmonella indicates that removal of many of these apparently functionless regions is attributable to their deleterious effects in cell fitness, suggesting that a sizeable fraction of pseudogenes are under selection.It concludes, "Although pseudogenes have long been considered the paradigm of neutral evolution, the distribution of pseudogenes among Salmonella strains indicates that removal of many of these apparently functionless regions is attributable to positive selection."
Based on these results, we conclude that conversion to BioF2 function would require at least two changes in the starting gene and probably more, since most double mutations do not work for two promising starting genes. The most favorable recruitment scenario would therefore require three genetic changes after the duplication event: two to achieve low-level BioF2 activity and one to boost that activity by overexpression. But even this best case would require about 1015 years in a natural population, making it unrealistic. Considering this along with the whole body of evidence on enzyme conversions, we think structural similarities among enzymes with distinct functions are better interpreted as supporting shared design principles than shared evolutionary histories.This new paper thus provides a robust disproof of the co-option model, overturning a cornerstone argument that evolutionists have long used when trying to answer ID arguments like irreducible complexity. By testing the co-option model, Biologic Institute is not just asking the right questions and doing innovative research that addresses key issues in the debate over Darwinian evolution and intelligent design. They're also finding data that confirms that ID's earliest arguments were right all along.
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