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Friday 20 November 2015

Whither the true faith?


A reproduction of ch.1 of Marley Cole's Book
Has Christianity Failed?




ON A SPRING DAY in 1956 the world was suffering

from a bad case of jitters. It was one of those times

when it seemed as if the news were all black. People in half

the world shook their heads over bleak headlines. The

American dollar nose-dived on the Paris stock exchange.

The peace of mind and the fortune of millions hung in

the balance. All this because


a lump of muscle the size of

your fist got fouled up inside one man’s chest. It made sense:

the muscle happened to be the heart of the President of the

United States.

This was the second time within nine months that the

President had gone to the hospital. Happily after


11 3 suspenseful

minutes of surgery the world could be assured.

This time it was not a heart attack. Just an intestinal


obstruction.

The President soon was able to grin ruefully,

“What a bellyache!”

Presidential elections were in the offing. The future
looked befogged. Would Mr. Eisenhower be able to run

for

a second term? His personal popularity was tremendous; it

cut across party lines.

If there was such a thing as the indispensable

man, a lot of people felt, Mr. Eisenhower was

it.

Aggravating the international picture, Egypt and Israel

were on the verge of a war that threatened to embroil the

world. Communist satellites Poland and Hungary growled

with revolt. In America, Catholic Action was lauding Cardinal

Mindzsenty as the symbol of the struggle for freedom in

Hungary. They hoped to see him head a new liberated

Hungarian government. Other Americans, while wishing

Hungary all the freedom in the world, looked upon

the

Cardinal

as the symbol of a thousand-year-old clerical totalita

rianism from which Communism had “liberated” Hungary

in 1949. Why, many asked, did either evil have to

exist? Why totalitarianism in any form-in the name

of

God, or in defiance of God?

It was a period when the ecclesiastical heavens were undergoing

a

soul searching and a shaking. An American

church worker returned from Europe to announce that in

West Germany only about five per cent of the people were

going to church.

A conclave of East and West German

Protestants was preparing to meet. Soon the world would

overhear one churchman telling the conclave that Communism

was the child, not of Pagandom, but

of Christendom.

The masses were following Karl Marx in “throwing

off enslavement” from age-old Christendom’s false, fraudulent

religion of exploitation. (Her doctrine of the “divine

right

of kings” now discredited, what was Christendom to

do

with her vestigial teaching that God ordains worldly governments-

did Germans have God to thank for the fantastic

Has


Christianity Failed?
13

twice in this generation?).

If this were not enough, a smalltown

pastor would bring

up the question whether Christians

should submit to or resist Communist judicial injustice.

Evangelical official Dr. Guenther Jacob replied that,

according to diehard church doctrine, civil authority-

Communist included-“is established to carry out God’s

will,” and that there was nothing to do but submit.

World Communism,

as usual, lay at the root of everyone’s

headaches. Twenty years earlier it had been Nazism. Former

United States President Herbert Hoover was still contending

that America should have stayed out of World War

I1

and let Hitler and Stalin knock each other out.

As it was, he

maintained, the world could thank America for rescuing

World Communism. The 175 million people living under

Communist rule at the end of World War

I1 had more than

quadrupled to 800 million during the next ten years. One

out of every three persons, one out of every five acres of land,

had been claimed by Communism. From 1945 to 1955 Communism

gained domination over half

a billion people-as

many people as Christendom claimed after almost two thousand

years. What was this frightful plague welling within

the bosom of Christendom? Americans were spending

35

billion dollars a year for defense against-exactly what?

People ran to their churches frantically, demanding a faith

to live by, a faith strong enough to repel the Red Religion

engulfing Christendom and the world.

Where was the needed faith? Was

it Orthodox Catholicism?

If


so, why had Communism sprung into power in

Russia, the heart of Orthodoxy? Why had the Orthodox

Church become the servile lackey

of Communism?

Was the needed invincible faith Roman Catholicism?

If

so, why had Communism succeeded in carving out a satellite
governments that had ruined her and the rest of the world
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A NEW WORLD TO COME

empire from the predominantly Roman Catholic countries

of Europe? Worse still, why had Communism found its second

happiest hunting ground in Italy, the heart of Catholicism’s

domain?

If an Italian Pope and an Italian hierarchy

could not wield the Church’s most formidable weapon, excommunication,

to keep one out of three Italian Catholics

from voting Communist, what power could they wield

against worldwide Communism? Take from Communism

her Orthodox and Roman Catholic heartland and what

would she have left?

So people wondered.

If not openly, still they wondered.

Many wondered if the faith to conquer all things was to be

found in Protestantism.

If so, which among the hundreds of

Protestant schismatic sects was the right one? People who

scratched a little beneath the surface had been dismayed

ever since 1949 when American Methodist emissary Dr. Garland

E. Hopkins reported on his tour of Communist satellites

Czechoslovakia, Poland, Hungary, Yugoslavia, Austria,

and East Germany. “The fact

so frequently overlooked in

Western countries is that Roman Catholic, Orthodox, Lutheran,

and Reformed churches as well as Jewish synagogues

are each still supported by the state in one or more of the

Communist countries,” reported Dr. Hopkins, uneasily.

“There is no real separation of church and state in most

of

the European countries. Rather, the churches have been, or

are in process of being, integrated into the program of the

state.” Church people in America, to whom the news struck

home, looked at each other in horror. “What is

our church

doing in the

pay of Communism?” they demanded. Joseph

C. Harsch in

The Christian Science Monitor intimated that

the European churches thought more of their belly than

they did of their God. “None of the big church institutions
Has
Christianity Failed?
15

could maintain itself in the style to which it has been accustomed

if it had to depend on private contributions. The big

churches do not support themselves. Their cathedrals are

maintained by the state. In varying degrees and by varying

sys tems their schools, hospitals, and educational systems are

all state subsidized.” Did it not amount to spiritual prostitution

with God’s avowed enemy, Communism?

“Of

course,” Mr. Harsch added, “it does mean ultimate compromise,

for no state ever subsidizes an unfriendly organization

indefinitely.” In short, Communism would use the

churches, any churches, as long as they gratified its purposes;

but at any time their usefulness was over, Communism

would cast them off like worn-out harlots. Americans who

saw the significance of it asked each other: “If the European

example is anything to go by, how can we expect our

churches to provide us with the faith we need to combat

Communism?”

Good news? By the middle of June, 1956, Americans were

trying to cheer themselves with the National Council

of

Churches’ announcement that finally one hundred million

Americans were church members. In Colonial days (that

produced Washingtons, Jeff ersons, and the men who formulated

the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution

of the United States) only five per cent of the population belonged

to churches. In 1890 the percentage was

22.5; in 1944

it

was 52.5, and now it has become a big, fat 60 per cent.

But while the news was still warm in their mouths it

curdled sourly when the killjoys pointed out that the more

people went to church, the higher the crime rate mountedevery

time church membership rose eight per cent, crime

rose 62 per cent. Prisons reported that the percentage of
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OF A NEW WORLD TO COME

criminal inmates who professed some religion was higher

than the percentage of people outside who professed some

religion.

In a series on “youth crimes,” the New York Times

came out with the shocking news that while on week days

youth-gang members woke up about noon, on Sundays

it

was different. “They rise much earlier than usual on Sundays,

for the 10 a.m. mass.”

F.B.I. Director

J. Edgar Hoover warned that the United

States was invaded internally by an army of five million

criminals. Crime was costing 400 times as much as education.

As far back as

1954, said Director of Federal Prisons

James

C. Bennett, federal penitentiaries were crowded 25

per cent beyond normal capacity. In the face

of all this,

Scripps-Howard newspaper columnist

Mrs. Walter Ferguson

threw

up her hands.

“I

am in a state of confusion,” she sighed. “First off,

I

read that the greatest religious revival ever seen is

now on in the

U.S. Religion is becoming a part of everyday

life, they say, and is no longer a cloistered mystery.

“We believe it when we look at all the new churches

being built. The air is clamorous with the voices of

evangelists exhorting the world to turn from its evil

ways and be saved. Newspapers carry many columns

written by ministers and priests.

Few things these days

are more popular than the opinions of those who deal

with religious subjects. The country has turned to serious

thoughts. And what is more serious than the soul’s

welfare?

“Just

as I fall into this placid ‘All’s-well-with-theworld’

mood, here comes

J. Edgar Hoover saying our

crime rate is a national disgrace. And this isn’t the

Has


Christianity Failed?
17

American people, are not concerned with these facts.

They fail to stir us. We seem to have lost our desire to

battle with crime. Why bother when your car and

TV

set are working all right? The confusing thing is that

in

the same year, in the same country, church interest and

crime statistics should both be at an all-time high.

“When religion has truly become

a part of everyday

life, we can expect its influence to wipe out our ‘national

disgrace.’


An army of Jehovah’s Witnesses, as well as swarms of small

fundamentalist sects, were warning that the moral breakdown

was positive indication that the world had reached its

foretold “last days.” “But know this,” quoted the Witnesses

on millions of doorsteps, “that in the last days critical

times hard to deal with will be here. For men will be lovers

. . . of money, self-assuming, haughty, blasphemers, disobedient

to parents, without gratitude, with no loving-kindness,

having no natural affection,

not open to any agreement,

slanderers, without self-control, fierce, without love

of goodness, betrayers, headstrong, puffed up with selfesteem,

lovers of pleasures rather than lovers of God, having

a form of godly devotion but proving false to its power

. . .

always learning and yet never able to come to an accurate

knowledge of truth”

(2 Timothy 3: 1-7 NW).

Staid old cults and denominations cupped a hand over

their brow and peered at a murky tomorrow but could discern

no Bible Armageddon impending. In our day to take

the Bible too literally is unsophisticated. Church is

a place

where people come to be lulled, not alarmed. Nevertheless

it was high time the “established” creeds rediscovered

a

“Bible theology” and acknowledged that what they were

founded upon was not “early Christian church teaching
worst. The most terrifying implication is that we, the
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OF A NEW WORLD TO COME

but “ecclesiastical traditions,” warned Episcopalian theologian

Walter C. Klein. “If we reject ecclesiastical tradition

we shall have to fall back upon learning, intelligence, intuition,

conscience and the like.”

Baptist John

S. Wimbish reasoned that the Communist

Manifesto was proving a more powerful doctrine in the lives

of men than the Bible because the church had coiled itself

about the Bible and died there, submerging its meaning out

of sight. “The church has become so precise

it is prissy; so

nice it is nauseating. If we are to snatch the banner from the

hands of the Communists, we must be willing to soil our

hands with noble toil. This

is an excellent time to shake the

dust of lethargy from our feet and emulate Jesus by manifesting

a genuine interest in our fellow man.” But how was

the church to shed its “dead orthodoxy”? About all that Dr.

Wimbish could say on that was that “Methodism needs

another John Wesley; Congregationalism needs another

Dwight Moody; Presbyterianism needs another John Knox,

and we Baptists need another Roger Williams!”

When

it came to extricating the churches from their dilemma

over the Negro, an even greater prophet was needed.

During the Civil War, American Protestantism split right

down the Mason and Dixon line. Southerners had called

God down on their side in support of the myth of the black

curse-the fable that God consigned black people to a position

of subhumanity and perpetual slavery, never

fit to belong

in the same lily-white society with Caucasians. In 1956,

after the Supreme Court outlawed segregation, the race

problem became the most explosive domestic issue in the

land. Historically the churches had followed their political

sides into splitting. Now they must follow the judicial order
to integrate-for conscience’s sake at least. It was humiliat
ing. Many churches were found to be following old unworkable

systems. “It is with deep humility that we face the

situation existing today and confess that as Christian leaders

we have not done what we should have in preparing our

people for this hour,” Presbyterian moderator Dr. L. Mc-

Dowel1 Richards lamented. Southern Protestantism, he declared,

was up against its “most difficult” crisis since the

“dark days” of the Civil War.

This was only local, national gloom. The world gloom

was darker. The tragedy of the world was that “worldwide

Christianity has failed to win the working classes,” as a

Methodist leader moaned. “There is no more serious development

in worldwide Christianity than its failure to win

the working-class masses,” said Dr. Alan Walker.

But was it Christianity that had failed? Or was

it the failure

of its

custodians? Had the clergy failed to preserve it

and instill its principles and hopes in the breasts of the.

derelict masses? Who was to blame?

Some clergymen blamed the people. By the middle of

June,

1956, people were still rushing to book counters to

buy

T h e Power of Positive Thinking. They devoured paragraphs

and pages seeking some “peace-of-mind” formula

that would really work. The clergy scolded them for trying

to use God as “one of a number of resources to enable us to

get what we want and enjoy life as we would.” Some people,

declared Episcopalian Dean James

A. Pike, were trying to

use God

“to help them sleep better, to calm their anxieties,

and

to make them more attractive and successful.” National

Council of Churches president Dr. Eugene C. Blake said it

was becoming fashionable to “make an instrument of God”

by using religion for selfish ends such as job security, health,

and peace of mind. “Everybody seems to be interested in
 
religion. But many people with new religious interest are

attempting to turn that interest into magic-to use God for

their own purposes rather than

to serve God and find His

purposes.”

We have

a world full of atrophied morals and hungerbitten

religion, declared Lutheran Glen

A. Pierson, because

the rank-and-file believers do not hold their faith seriously

enough to preach it, much less to live it seven days a week.

“Our conception of the priesthood

is that every man is a

priest with the privilege of direct access to God. That also

means he has the responsibility to propagate the faith. But

we Protestants today are prone to say

‘Get a preacher. Let

him do the work.’

’’

If


Protestants were falling down on the job, Catholics

were even more sluggish. People were still talking about the

Catholic Digest


survey that showed that 59 per cent of all

Protestants tried to win converts, and

43 per cent were succeeding.

But only

28 out of 100 Catholics tried, and only 17

succeeded.
 

The scriptural basis for our house to house preaching.

The sight of JW families going from house to house attempting to share the Bible's message has become familiar across much of the globe.But is this method of evangelising some kind of modern innovation or is it rooted in scripture?Well lets have look we'll start at Matthew10:11-13KJV"And into whatsoever city or town ye shall enter, enquire who in it is worthy; and there abide till ye go thence. 12And when ye come into an house, salute it. 13And if the house be worthy, let your peace come upon it: but if it be not worthy, let your peace return to you."
 Here our Lord is sending out his recently selected apostles on a preaching campaign with some very specific instructions.They were to go village to village and house to house searching out those deserving of receiving the gospel.The apostles must have been impressed with the results of this method because in the book of acts we read that after their Lord's ascension they kept up the tradition of preaching from house to house Acts5:42NASB"And every day, in the temple and from house to house, they kept right on teaching and preaching Jesus as the Christ." Now they would hardly have to Preach "Jesus as the Christ" to fellow Christians so more likely this passage is referring to  public evangelising.
 Decades later the apostle Paul is shown upholding the traditional method of public evangelising  Acts20:20,21NASB"how I did not shrink from declaring to you anything that was profitable, and teaching you publicly and from house to house, 21solemnly testifying to both Jews and Greeks of repentance toward God and faith in our Lord Jesus Christ." Again the context suggest(at least in the main) the evangelising of the public rather than a mere shepherding of the believers.
  So there is no getting around it the house to house method of public evangelisation is solidly founded of scripture and continues to be an effective way of publicising the Bible's truth.

The Watchtower Society's commentary on 'Abel'

ABEL:

(Aʹbel).

1. [possibly, Exhalation; Vanity]. The second son of Adam and his wife Eve, and the younger brother of their firstborn son, Cain.—Ge 4:2.

It is probable that, while yet alive, Abel had sisters; the record mentions the birth of daughters to his parents, but their names are not recorded. (Ge 5:1-4) As a man, he became a herder of sheep; his brother, a farmer.—Ge 4:2.

After an indefinite period of time, Abel made an offering to Jehovah God. Cain did likewise. Each brought of what he had: Abel, of the firstlings of his flocks; Cain, of his produce. (Ge 4:3, 4) They both had belief in God. They undoubtedly learned of Him from their parents and must have known why they all were outside the garden of Eden and denied entry to it. Their offerings indicated a recognition of their alienated state and of their desire for God’s favor. God expressed favor toward Abel’s offering but not Cain’s. How the approval and the rejection were manifested the record does not show, but it was undoubtedly evident to both men. The reason for God’s approval of only Abel’s offering is made clear by later writings. The apostle Paul lists Abel as the first man of faith, at Hebrews 11:4, and shows that this resulted in his sacrifice being of “greater worth” than Cain’s offering. By contrast, 1 John 3:11, 12 shows Cain’s heart attitude to have been bad; and his later rejection of God’s counsel and warning, as well as his premeditated murder of his brother Abel, demonstrated this.

While it cannot be said that Abel had any foreknowledge of the eventual outworking of the divine promise at Genesis 3:15 concerning the promised “seed,” he likely had given much thought to that promise and believed that blood would have to be shed, someone would have to be ‘bruised in the heel,’ so that mankind might be uplifted again to the state of perfection that Adam and Eve had enjoyed before their rebellion. (Heb 11:4) In the light of this, Abel’s offering of the firstlings of his flock certainly was appropriate and undoubtedly was a factor in God’s expression of approval. To the Giver of life, Abel gave as his gift life, even though it was only from among the flock.—Compare Joh 1:36.

Jesus shows Abel to have been the first martyr and object of religious persecution waged by his intolerant brother Cain. In doing so, Jesus speaks of Abel as living at “the founding of the world.” (Lu 11:48-51) The Greek word for “world” is koʹsmos and in this text refers to the world of mankind. The term “founding” is a rendering of the Greek ka·ta·bo·leʹ and literally means “throwing down [of seed].” (Heb 11:11, Int) By the expression “the founding of the world,” Jesus manifestly referred to the birth of children to Adam and Eve, thereby producing a world of mankind. Paul includes Abel among the “cloud of witnesses” of pre-Christian times.—Heb 11:4; 12:1.

How does the blood of Jesus ‘speak in a better way than that of Abel’?

Because of his faith and divine approval, the record of which continues to bear witness, it could be said that Abel, “although he died, yet speaks.” (Heb 11:4) At Hebrews 12:24 the apostle refers to “Jesus the mediator of a new covenant, and the blood of sprinkling, which speaks in a better way than Abel’s blood.” Though shed in martyrdom, Abel’s blood did not ransom or redeem anyone, any more than did the blood of his sacrificed sheep. His blood in effect cried to God for vengeance upon assassin Cain. The blood of Jesus, here presented as validating the new covenant, speaks in a better way than Abel’s in that it calls to God for mercy upon all persons of faith like Abel, and is the means by which their ransoming is possible.

Since Seth was evidently born shortly after Abel’s death and when Adam was 130 years of age, it is possible that Abel may have been as much as 100 years old at the time of his martyrdom.—Ge 4:25; 5:3.

2. [Watercourse]. A town also called Abel-beth-maacah or Abel of Beth-maacah. Elsewhere used as a prefix to the names of various places.—2Sa 20:18; see ABEL-BETH-MAACAH.


3. At 1 Samuel 6:18 the King James Version refers to “the great stone of Abel,” while the marginal reading says, “Or, great Abel, that is, mourning.” However, modern translations generally read here simply “the great stone.” (Compare AT, NC [Spanish], NW, JB, and others.) While the Masoretic Hebrew text uses the word ʼA·velʹ in this verse, the Greek Septuagint and the Aramaic Targums translate it as if it were ʼeʹven, that is, “stone.” This agrees with verse 14 of the same chapter. It could not refer to Abel of Beth-maacah, since the incident recorded at 1 Samuel 6:18 took place near Beth-shemesh in Judah.

Thursday 19 November 2015

Losing more than their religion.

Big Brain Theory: Have Cosmologists Lost Theirs?:


By DENNIS OVERBYE
Published: January 15, 2008

It could be the weirdest and most embarrassing prediction in the history of cosmology, if not science.

If true, it would mean that you yourself reading this article are more likely to be some momentary fluctuation in a field of matter and energy out in space than a person with a real past born through billions of years of evolution in an orderly star-spangled cosmos. Your memories and the world you think you see around you are illusions.

This bizarre picture is the outcome of a recent series of calculations that take some of the bedrock theories and discoveries of modern cosmology to the limit. Nobody in the field believes that this is the way things really work, however. And so in the last couple of years there has been a growing stream of debate and dueling papers, replete with references to such esoteric subjects as reincarnation, multiple universes and even the death of spacetime, as cosmologists try to square the predictions of their cherished theories with their convictions that we and the universe are real. The basic problem is that across the eons of time, the standard theories suggest, the universe can recur over and over again in an endless cycle of big bangs, but it’s hard for nature to make a whole universe. It’s much easier to make fragments of one, like planets, yourself maybe in a spacesuit or even — in the most absurd and troubling example — a naked brain floating in space. Nature tends to do what is easiest, from the standpoint of energy and probability. And so these fragments — in particular the brains — would appear far more frequently than real full-fledged universes, or than us. Or they might be us.

Alan Guth, a cosmologist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who agrees this overabundance is absurd, pointed out that some calculations result in an infinite number of free-floating brains for every normal brain, making it “infinitely unlikely for us to be normal brains.” Welcome to what physicists call the Boltzmann brain problem, named after the 19th-century Austrian physicist Ludwig Boltzmann, who suggested the mechanism by which such fluctuations could happen in a gas or in the universe. Cosmologists also refer to them as “freaky observers,” in contrast to regular or “ordered” observers of the cosmos like ourselves. Cosmologists are desperate to eliminate these freaks from their theories, but so far they can’t even agree on how or even on whether they are making any progress.

If you are inclined to skepticism this debate might seem like further evidence that cosmologists, who gave us dark matter, dark energy and speak with apparent aplomb about gazillions of parallel universes, have finally lost their minds. But the cosmologists say the brain problem serves as a valuable reality check as they contemplate the far, far future and zillions of bubble universes popping off from one another in an ever-increasing rush through eternity. What, for example is a “typical” observer in such a setup? If some atoms in another universe stick together briefly to look, talk and think exactly like you, is it really you?

“It is part of a much bigger set of questions about how to think about probabilities in an infinite universe in which everything that can occur, does occur, infinitely many times,” said Leonard Susskind of Stanford, a co-author of a paper in 2002 that helped set off the debate. Or as Andrei Linde, another Stanford theorist given to colorful language, loosely characterized the possibility of a replica of your own brain forming out in space sometime, “How do you compute the probability to be reincarnated to the probability of being born?”

The Boltzmann brain problem arises from a string of logical conclusions that all spring from another deep and old question, namely why time seems to go in only one direction. Why can’t you unscramble an egg? The fundamental laws governing the atoms bouncing off one another in the egg look the same whether time goes forward or backward. In this universe, at least, the future and the past are different and you can’t remember who is going to win the Super Bowl next week.

“When you break an egg and scramble it you are doing cosmology,” said Sean Carroll, a cosmologist at the California Institute of Technology.

Boltzmann ascribed this so-called arrow of time to the tendency of any collection of particles to spread out into the most random and useless configuration, in accordance with the second law of thermodynamics (sometimes paraphrased as “things get worse”), which says that entropy, which is a measure of disorder or wasted energy, can never decrease in a closed system like the universe.

If the universe was running down and entropy was increasing now, that was because the universe must have been highly ordered in the past.


In Boltzmann’s time the universe was presumed to have been around forever, in which case it would long ago have stabilized at a lukewarm temperature and died a “heat death.” It would already have maximum entropy, and so with no way to become more disorderly there would be no arrow of time. No life would be possible but that would be all right because life would be excruciatingly boring. Boltzmann said that entropy was all about odds, however, and if we waited long enough the random bumping of atoms would occasionally produce the cosmic equivalent of an egg unscrambling. A rare fluctuation would decrease the entropy in some place and start the arrow of time pointing and history flowing again. That is not what happened. Astronomers now know the universe has not lasted forever. It was born in the Big Bang, which somehow set the arrow of time, 14 billion years ago. The linchpin of the Big Bang is thought to be an explosive moment known as inflation, during which space became suffused with energy that had an antigravitational effect and ballooned violently outward, ironing the kinks and irregularities out of what is now the observable universe and endowing primordial chaos with order.
Inflation is a veritable cosmological fertility principle. Fluctuations in the field driving inflation also would have seeded the universe with the lumps that eventually grew to be galaxies, stars and people. According to the more extended version, called eternal inflation, an endless array of bubble or “pocket” universes are branching off from one another at a dizzying and exponentially increasing rate. They could have different properties and perhaps even different laws of physics, so the story goes.

Multimedia
 Boltzmann’s Brain
Graphic
Boltzmann’s Brain
A different, but perhaps related, form of antigravity, glibly dubbed dark energy, seems to be running the universe now, and that is the culprit responsible for the Boltzmann brains.

The expansion of the universe seems to be accelerating, making galaxies fly away from one another faster and faster. If the leading dark-energy suspect, a universal repulsion Einstein called the cosmological constant, is true, this runaway process will last forever, and distant galaxies will eventually be moving apart so quickly that they cannot communicate with one another. Being in such a space would be like being surrounded by a black hole.

Rather than simply going to black like “The Sopranos” conclusion, however, the cosmic horizon would glow, emitting a feeble spray of elementary particles and radiation, with a temperature of a fraction of a billionth of a degree, courtesy of quantum uncertainty. That radiation bath will be subject to random fluctuations just like Boltzmann’s eternal universe, however, and every once in a very long, long time, one of those fluctuations would be big enough to recreate the Big Bang. In the fullness of time this process could lead to the endless series of recurring universes. Our present universe could be part of that chain.

In such a recurrent setup, however, Dr. Susskind of Stanford, Lisa Dyson, now of the University of California, Berkeley, and Matthew Kleban, now at New York University, pointed out in 2002 that Boltzmann’s idea might work too well, filling the megaverse with more Boltzmann brains than universes or real people.

In the same way the odds of a real word showing up when you shake a box of Scrabble letters are greater than a whole sentence or paragraph forming, these “regular” universes would be vastly outnumbered by weird ones, including flawed variations on our own all the way down to naked brains, a result foreshadowed by Martin Rees, a cosmologist at the University of Cambridge, in his 1997 book, “Before the Beginning.”

The conclusions of Dr. Dyson and her colleagues were quickly challenged by Andreas Albrecht and Lorenzo Sorbo of the University of California, Davis, who used an alternate approach. They found that the Big Bang was actually more likely than Boltzmann’s brain.

“In the end, inflation saves us from Boltzmann’s brain,” Dr. Albrecht said, while admitting that the calculations were contentious. Indeed, the “invasion of Boltzmann brains,” as Dr. Linde once referred to it, was just beginning.

In an interview Dr. Linde described these brains as a form of reincarnation. Over the course of eternity, he said, anything is possible. After some Big Bang in the far future, he said, “it’s possible that you yourself will re-emerge. Eventually you will appear with your table and your computer.”

But it’s more likely, he went on, that you will be reincarnated as an isolated brain, without the baggage of stars and galaxies. In terms of probability, he said, “It’s cheaper.”

You might wonder what’s wrong with a few brains — or even a preponderance of them — floating around in space. For one thing, as observers these brains would see a freaky chaotic universe, unlike our own, which seems to persist in its promise and disappointment.

Another is that one of the central orthodoxies of cosmology is that humans don’t occupy a special place in the cosmos, that we and our experiences are typical of cosmic beings. If the odds of us being real instead of Boltzmann brains are one in a million, say, waking up every day would be like walking out on the street and finding everyone in the city standing on their heads. You would expect there to be some reason why you were the only one left right side up.Some cosmologists, James Hartle and Mark Srednicki, of the University of California, Santa Barbara, have questioned that assumption. “For example,” Dr. Hartle wrote in an e-mail message, “on Earth humans are not typical animals; insects are far more numerous. No one is surprised by this.”In an e-mail response to Dr. Hartle’s view, Don Page of the University of Alberta, who has been a prominent voice in the Boltzmann debate, argued that what counted cosmologically was not sheer numbers, but consciousness, which we have in abundance over the insects. “I would say that we have no strong evidence against the working hypothesis that we are typical and that our observations are typical,” he explained, “which is very fruitful in science for helping us believe that our observations are not just flukes but do tell us something about the universe.”

Dr. Dyson and her colleagues suggested that the solution to the Boltzmann paradox was in denying the presumption that the universe would accelerate eternally. In other words, they said, that the cosmological constant was perhaps not really constant. If the cosmological constant eventually faded away, the universe would revert to normal expansion and what was left would eventually fade to black. With no more acceleration there would be no horizon with its snap, crackle and pop, and thus no material for fluctuations and Boltzmann brains.

String theory calculations have suggested that dark energy is indeed metastable and will decay, Dr. Susskind pointed out. “The success of ordinary cosmology,” Dr. Susskind said, “speaks against the idea that the universe was created in a random fluctuation.”

But nobody knows whether dark energy — if it dies — will die soon enough to save the universe from a surplus of Boltzmann brains. In 2006, Dr. Page calculated that the dark energy would have to decay in about 20 billion years in order to prevent it from being overrun by Boltzmann brains.

The decay, if and when it comes, would rejigger the laws of physics and so would be fatal and total, spreading at almost the speed of light and destroying all matter without warning. There would be no time for pain, Dr. Page wrote: “And no grieving survivors will be left behind. So in this way it would be the most humanely possible execution.” But the object of his work, he said, was not to predict the end of the universe but to draw attention to the fact that the Boltzmann brain problem remains.

People have their own favorite measures of probability in the multiverse, said Raphael Bousso of the University of California, Berkeley. “So Boltzmann brains are just one example of how measures can predict nonsense; anytime your measure predicts that something we see has extremely small probability, you can throw it out,” he wrote in an e-mail message.

Another contentious issue is whether the cosmologists in their calculations could consider only the observable universe, which is all we can ever see or be influenced by, or whether they should take into account the vast and ever-growing assemblage of other bubbles forever out of our view predicted by eternal inflation. In the latter case, as Alex Vilenkin of Tufts University pointed out, “The numbers of regular and freak observers are both infinite.” Which kind predominate depends on how you do the counting, he said..

In eternal inflation, the number of new bubbles being hatched at any given moment is always growing, Dr. Linde said, explaining one such counting scheme he likes. So the evolution of people in new bubbles far outstrips the creation of Boltzmann brains in old ones. The main way life emerges, he said, is not by reincarnation but by the creation of new parts of the universe. “So maybe we don’t need to care too much” about the Boltzmann brains,” he said.

“If you are reincarnated, why do you care about where you are reincarnated?” he asked. “It sounds crazy because here we are touching issues we are not supposed to be touching in ordinary science. Can we be reincarnated?”

“People are not prepared for this discussion,” Dr. Linde said.

The Mech and Tech of the designer II

Brian Douglas Commits Berra’s Blunder
November 17, 2015 Posted by Barry Arrington under Intelligent Design

UDEditors:  “Berra’s Blunder”is a well known and documented error that Darwinist can’t seem to stop themselves from making.  See our glossary for a definition.  In the thread to a previous post Brian Douglas gave us an example of such a blunder and Eric Anderson provided a corrective.  All that follows (except, obviously, the text provided by Brian) is Eric’s:

brian douglas @36:

Joe/Jack/virgil/Frankie/whoever, evolution just proposes the mechanism, not a step by step account of how it occurred. Much in the same way that I can propose the mechanisms involved in the production of a car without knowing the step by step process that is actually used.

You are partially right, so let me see if we can bridge the gap.

You are absolutely correct that you can propose general mechanisms involved in car production without knowing every detail of the process. And, you can know with reasonable certainty that a car (or similar object) was designed, without knowing the precise manufacturing process involved. We do this all the time.

After all, there are many ways an intelligent designer can build a functional machine. And while we can perhaps catch some glimpses of the process by reverse engineering a machine, we cannot necessarily tell with complete certainty the entire process used to bring the machine about.

The reason for this is intimately related to and is precisely because an intelligent designer has the ability to choose between contingent possibilities. Thus, an intelligent designer can choose not only what to build, but can also, within fairly broad parameters, choose when and how to build it. Indeed, there is an entire section of patent law devoted to the improvement of methods and processes, and companies collectively spend billions on efforts to improve manufacturing processes. From solely examining a machine we may not know whether it was created through process A, or B or C.

And this is precisely because it is a designed machine produced by an agent that has the ability to chooseamong several contingent possible modes of construction.

Let’s now contrast this with the mechanistic approach. The blind forces of chemistry and physics have no ability to choose between different manufacturing processes. They have no ability to decide when or how they operate. They will blindly follow whatever interactions come their way and will (either inevitably or at least stochastically) produce whatever those laws dictate.

We know that a designed system can come about through various means, depending on the decision of the designer. In contrast, it makes no sense to say that a purely mechanistic process — one that blindly follows the deterministic and stochastic processes of chemistry and physics — it makes no sense to say we know a mechanistic process brought a machine about, but that we don’t know what the process was.

In the mechanistic context — in sharp contrast to the designed context — the mechanistic process is the issue at hand, it is where the rubber must meet the road. And the absence of a well-understood materialistic process for producing the machine, means that we don’t have a materialistic explanation.

Thus, you have made a category mistake with your example.

Your example of not being able to provide a complete description of the process for manufacture of a car is a good example, but you have it exactly backwards. Your example holds, for a designed system, not for a naturally-occurring one. If you want to provide a mechanistic example, you would essentially be saying that “undesigned machine X came about through a purely material process, but I don’t know what that process is.” Such an approach is nonsense. Thus, you are left to steal examples from the other side of the aisle — designed systems where we know the process can be contingent.

If we are going to claim a mechanistic process, then we at least need to have enough of a detailed understanding of the process to see if such a mechanistic process actually has any chance of producing the machine in the real world. A mechanistic theory is only as good as the mechanism proposed.Otherwise, we are just making up stories.

Thus, regarding the origin of life, we cannot say life came about through purely mechanistic processes, but that we don’t know what those processes are. If materialists are being minimally intellectually honest, the most they can say is that they don’t know whether life could arise through purely natural processes. And if they want to be truly intellectually honest, they will need to admit to and grapple with the many problems of naturalistic abiogenesis, just some of which I listed in the OP. And they would also acknowledge that, in sharp contrast to purely material processes, intelligent beings are known to have the capacity to create, and are regularly observed creating, complex functional machines in three-dimensional space.


Knocking itself out?

Unspeciation?

Single jaw find shows three “species” to be one
November 19, 2015 Posted by News under Intelligent Design, speciation

As noted earlier, the concept of “species” or “speciation,” as noted in Darwin’s On the Origin of Species, the most influential academic book ever written, is a mess.

Of course no one admits that. And no one needs to be a scientist to see it either.

Here, for example, from ScienceDaily:

The discovery of a tiny, 170-million-year-old fossil on the Isle of Skye, off the north-west coast of the UK, has led researchers to conclude that three previously recognized species are in fact just one.

Differences in tooth shape that had been thought to distinguish three different species were in fact all present in the single lower jaw found on the Isle of Skye. ‘In effect, we’ve “undiscovered” two species,’ explains Dr Close. ‘The new find shows that we should be cautious about naming new types of animals on the basis of individual teeth.’ In a paper published in Palaeontology, the team identifies their find as Palaeoxonodon ooliticus — the name given to the first of the three species to be described back in the late 1970s.

Too bad for anyone who suspected the evidence for separate classification was flimsy to begin with, but was forced to keep quiet for decades.

Also note:

‘Towards the front, three sharp cusps allow the animal to slice up the food, while at the back a flatter, grinding surface crushes it,’ explains Dr Close. ‘It’s an evolutionary innovation that allowed much more versatile ways of feeding to evolve, and it may well have contributed to the long-term success of this group of mammals.’ More.

So do we know that:

– there were no “much more versatile ways of feeding” before?

– similar life forms that did not have this dentition died out, whereas this one survived?

– that few or no similar life forms survived without this dentition?

Maybe we do know all that. But no one bothers to explain because Darwin wuz right, no matter what the fact base, so we drag his sacred name and beliefs into it as is expected.

It wouldn’t be a bit surprising if we don’t know all that, and/or if subsequent research casts doubt. Few would draw attention to the fact. So things go on. And speciation is whatever classifiers say it is. Or isn’t.

This is happening all the time. It’s brought down major Darwin shrines, like Darwin’s finches (hybridization). I remember when Peter Grant was predicting a new “species” every 200 years.

Yet no re-evaluation is attempted because, when a mess becomes catastrophic, none can be dared.

Note: I remember the sneery explanation offered me a decade and a half ago by a Christian apologist for Darwin (a “theistic naturalist,” as Phil Johnson put it). that, ahem, ahem, some classifiers are “lumpers” and some are “splitters,” s, heh, heh,o whatever the rest of you are told, just shut up and believe (and holler louder fer Jesus and Darwin).

Sorry, Bible Study, but that train doesn’t stop here any more. You people are entitled to whatever cockup of a system you please; you are not morally entitled to call it “science” just because it reeks of Darwin—and expect support, funding, and indoctrination from those who know better.

Here’s the abstract:


The Middle Jurassic was a key interval of mammalian evolutionary history that witnessed the diversification of the therian stem group. Great Britain has yielded a significant record of mammalian fossils from this interval, represented by numerous isolated jaws and teeth from the Bathonian of Oxfordshire and the Isle of Skye. This record captures a key period in early cladotherian evolution, with amphitheriids, peramurans and ‘stem zatherians’ displaying intermediate talonid morphologies that document the evolutionary assembly of tribosphenic molars. We present a mandible with near-complete dentition from the late Bathonian (c. 167.4–166.5 Ma) Kilmaluag Formation, near Elgol, Skye, representing the amphitheriid Palaeoxonodon ooliticus, previously known only from isolated teeth. The specimen sheds new light on the taxonomic diversity of British Middle Jurassic stem therians, as the morphological variation within the preserved tooth row encompasses that previously ascribed to three distinct species within two genera: Palaeoxonodon ooliticus, P. freemani and Kennetheridium leesi. Thus, both P. freemani and K. leesi are subjective junior synonyms of P. ooliticus. The dental formula of P. ooliticus (i4:c1:p5:m5) is intermediate between the primitively larger postcanine count (p5:m6–7) of Amphitherium and the reduced number in peramurans and tribosphenidans (p5:m3). Phylogenetic analyses of P. ooliticus generally confirm a close affinity with Amphitherium, but highlight the lack of strong empirical support for hypothesized patterns of divergences among early cladotherians. (paywall) – Roger A. Close, Brian M. Davis, Stig Walsh, Andrzej S. Wolniewicz, Matt Friedman, Roger B. J. Benson. A lower jaw ofPalaeoxonodonfrom the Middle Jurassic of the Isle of Skye, Scotland, sheds new light on the diversity of British stem therians. Palaeontology, 2015; DOI: 10.1111/pala.12218